My previous post offers an opinionated ending. So I wanted to check a fact or two, or get an impression to make sure I'm not too far off-base. So I looked at the Wikipedia article on Real Business Cycle Theory. I didn't find anything useful, but I did find this:
FIGURE 4 |
At a glance, yes, the red line (consumption spending) closely follows the fluctuations of the other line (GNP).
Yeah, I was amazed, the article refers to GNP, not to GDP.
But, at second glance, it occurs to me that consumption spending is the biggest part of GNP. So of course the two lines travel together. The graph shows nothing at all.It's a shame, too. I was really liking the article.
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